Skip to content
Pilot with synthetic data. Every figure here is invented for demonstration. It does not describe real events, real organisations or real money.

National Safety Index

August 2026

Current score

7.2out of 10
Worsened: down 0.2 on July 2026

The score compares this month's measured safety losses with the five-year norm for the same month. It does not measure every aspect of national safety. What it covers

Previous month
7.4July 2026
Insurance adjustment in September 2026
+2%National Safety Surcharge on premiums, set by this month's score

Score and insurance adjustment scale

  • 10 No surcharge
  • 9 No surcharge
  • 8 +1%
  • 7 +2%
  • 6 +3%
  • 5 +4%
  • 4 +5%
  • 3 +6%
  • 2 +8%
  • 1 +10%

Read the score on the left, then follow the row across for next month's adjustment to insurance premiums. This month sits in the highlighted row.

Where the score comes from

Six areas, weighted by how much harm they cause. Each is compared with its own average for the same month over the past five years. Select a row for the numbers.

AreaWeightScore out of 10ScoreChange
  • Compared with usual110% (100% means exactly the usual level; lower is safer)
    Counts toward NSI2.72 of 7.2 points

    The NSS has no explicit road-safety threat; mapped to Health Threats for the injury burden.

  • Compared with usual95% (100% means exactly the usual level; lower is safer)
    Counts toward NSI1.78 of 7.2 points

    Linked to the mining and low industrial base discussion in NSS 2.3.1.

  • Compared with usual124% (100% means exactly the usual level; lower is safer)
    Counts toward NSI1.01 of 7.2 points

    Emergency response capacity sits under NSS 2.3.5.

  • Compared with usual127% (100% means exactly the usual level; lower is safer)
    Counts toward NSI0.97 of 7.2 points

    Linked to financial and economic crimes in NSS 2.3.1.3.

  • Compared with usual180% (100% means exactly the usual level; lower is safer)
    Counts toward NSI0.25 of 7.2 points

    Linked to critical national infrastructure in NSS 2.3.10.

  • Compared with usual43% (100% means exactly the usual level; lower is safer)
    Counts toward NSI0.50 of 7.2 points

    Floods, droughts and storms, NSS 2.1.2 and 2.3.5.

The trend

The score for each month, and the insurance adjustment it set for the month after.

National Safety Index

Higher is safer. Hover a dot for the exact value.
246810Jan 24Jun 24Nov 24Apr 25Sep 25Feb 26Jul 26Jan 24: 6.7Feb 24: 6.6Mar 24: 7.5Apr 24: 6.1May 24: 6.9Jun 24: 6.4Jul 24: 7.2Aug 24: 6.4Sep 24: 6.4Oct 24: 6.9Nov 24: 7.2Dec 24: 7.8Jan 25: 5.9Feb 25: 7.1Mar 25: 7.4Apr 25: 7.7May 25: 6.9Jun 25: 5.1Jul 25: 6.7Aug 25: 6.5Sep 25: 6.6Oct 25: 5.0Nov 25: 7.2Dec 25: 6.1Jan 26: 7.4Feb 26: 6.7Mar 26: 6.3Apr 26: 6.7May 26: 7.1Jun 26: 6.8Jul 26: 7.4Aug 26: 7.2

Insurance surcharge set

Percent added to premiums in the following month.
0246810Jan 24: 3%Jan 24Feb 24: 3%Mar 24: 2%Apr 24: 3%May 24: 3%Jun 24: 3%Jun 24Jul 24: 2%Aug 24: 3%Sep 24: 3%Oct 24: 3%Nov 24: 2%Nov 24Dec 24: 2%Jan 25: 4%Feb 25: 2%Mar 25: 2%Apr 25: 2%Apr 25May 25: 3%Jun 25: 4%Jul 25: 3%Aug 25: 3%Sep 25: 3%Sep 25Oct 25: 4%Nov 25: 2%Dec 25: 3%Jan 26: 2%Feb 26: 3%Feb 26Mar 26: 3%Apr 26: 3%May 26: 2%Jun 26: 3%Jul 26: 2%Jul 26Aug 26: 2%

How this connects to the National Security Strategy

The NSS ranks national threats in four tiers by how likely they are and how much damage they do. Each safety area above is tied to the threat it informs. Threats shown in grey have no safety indicator yet. The score informs 7 of 18 NSS threats, and 3 of 5 in Tier 1.

Low probabilityHigh probability
High impact          Low impact

Tier 25.1

  • Sovereignty & Territorial Integrity
  • Terrorism & Violent Extremism
  • Natural Disasters 6.7Fire Incidents10.0Environmental Events (secondary)
  • Food Insecurity
  • Disruptions to CNI 2.5Public Infrastructure Failures
  • Energy Supply 2.5Public Infrastructure Failures (secondary)
  • Espionage

Tier 18.0

  • Economic Threats 8.9Industrial & Mining Accidents6.5Crime-Related Insurance Claims
  • Youth Unemployment & Poverty Not an insurable-loss measure, so a poor fit for the surcharge mechanism.
  • Health Threats 7.8Road Traffic Accidents
  • Cyberspace Security Candidate indicator: reported cyber incidents or cyber-insurance claims. Not in the concept note.
  • Climate Change 10.0Environmental Events

Tier 4

  • Inter Party Political Violence
  • Transnational Organised Crime 6.5Crime-Related Insurance Claims (secondary)
  • CBRN

Tier 3

  • Maritime Security
  • Border Security
  • Land Management

What this score does and does not cover

A national safety and resilience risk index, based initially on measurable, economically consequential events. A single figure cannot describe every threat in the National Security Strategy, so the Authority separates what moves insurance premiums from what it only watches.

In the score

Feeds the score and the premium surcharge. Must be a measurable, insurable loss.

  • Road Traffic Accidents
  • Industrial & Mining Accidents
  • Fire Incidents
  • Crime-Related Insurance Claims
  • Public Infrastructure Failures
  • Environmental Events

Watched, not scored

Recorded and tracked by the Authority. Never part of the score or the surcharge.

  • Health Threats (tier 1)
  • Cyberspace Security (tier 1)
  • Food Insecurity (tier 2)
  • Border Security (tier 3)
  • Land Management (tier 3)
  • Inter Party Political Violence (tier 4)
  • Transnational Organised Crime (tier 4)

Not measured

Threats the index does not record, and why.

  • Terrorism & Violent Extremism
    Intelligence-led. Not recorded by the NSI.
  • Espionage
    Intelligence-led. Not recorded by the NSI.
  • CBRN
    Intelligence- and defence-led. Not recorded by the NSI.
  • Sovereignty & Territorial Integrity
    Defence-led. Not recorded by the NSI.
  • Maritime Security
    Concerns trade routes through neighbouring ports. No reportable incident type in the pilot.
  • Youth Unemployment & Poverty
    A condition measured by surveys, not an incident. Not an insurable-loss measure.

How an indicator can join the score

How the score is made

  1. Approved incident reports for the month are counted in six areas.
  2. Each area is compared with the average for the same calendar month over the previous 5 years, taking in how many incidents, how serious, and how costly.
  3. Area scores run from 1 to 10 and are weighted into one national figure.
  4. The figure sets the next month's insurance adjustment on the scale above.

Methodology v1.0. Read the full method, including which parts are still pilot assumptions.

Where the surcharge money goes

The surcharge is paid into a separate fund that can only be spent on emergency response and resilience.

  • Flood and drought response
  • Epidemic containment
  • Emergency infrastructure repair
  • Fire and ambulance capacity
  • Early warning systems
  • Emergency logistics

It cannot pay recurrent salaries, political spending or general budget gaps.